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11/21/2008 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Sometimes, excessive cleverness is simply unnecessary.
Though it seems a requirement of the weekly NFL preview writer to weave a thread of humor, wit or even sarcasm into each and every pre-game tapestry, every now and then it's just piling on.
And such is the case this weekend at LP Field in Nashville.
When the AFC South-leading Tennessee Titans - oh, did we mention they were unbeaten? - host the AFC East-leading New York Jets (they still have that Favre fella calling signals, don't they?) on Sunday at 1pm, any attempt to wordily buoy the event on this end would be, well...gratuitous.
So instead, we'll just leave it to the professionals.
"The undefeated Titans are big, tough and opportunistic. Correction: Make that big, tough, opportunistic and confident. Very confident," said veteran Jets beat writer Rich Cimini, in Tuesday's editions of the New York Daily News.
"That's what will be waiting for the Jets Sunday in Nashville, where the AFC's two hottest teams will meet in what could be - dare we say it? - a January preview.
"For the second time in 11 months, the Jets will face the NFL's only undefeated team. This time, they're not a mosquito staring at an oncoming windshield."
Already winners in five of six games, Gang Green officially raised itself above splattered bug status one week ago by traveling to Gillette Stadium and hanging on for a 34-31 overtime decision over the host New England Patriots - a win that provided both division supremacy and mental exorcism.
At least temporarily, anyway.
This week, in the Titans, the Jets face something of a mirror image - a powerful, multi-pronged running game, a veteran gunslinger-turned-game manager at quarterback and a mammoth nose tackle leading a so-far dominant, if not-yet appreciated defense.
Tennessee reached double-digit wins in its own dramatic style last week, rallying from an 11-point halftime deficit at Jacksonville to defeat the Jaguars, 24-14.
Kerry Collins, who's guided the team since Vince Young's physical and emotional meltdown in Week 1, threw all three of his touchdown passes in the second half and finished off an efficient 13-for-23, 230-yard day with a decisive 38-yard strike to Justin Gage with 3:57 remaining.
Still, at least one Titan is preaching restraint in the midst of the hot start.
"We've got 10 wins," said right guard Jake Scott, who played with Indianapolis when the Colts began the 2005 season with 13 straight wins and wound up losing their initial playoff game.
"That's a lot. To go undefeated, we'd have to win nine more. We're just a little over halfway. You're not even in that ballpark yet."
Tennessee is the 11th team since 1970 to win its first 10 games and the third team to do so in the past four seasons. Seven of the first 10 reached the Super Bowl, with five winning.
"It definitely gives you that realization no one's going to lay down for you in this league," Scott said. "You can show up at the Super Bowl 18-0. No one's going to lay down and let you win the game."
A little recent history...last year's Patriots raced through the regular season and playoffs at 18-0, only to lose the Super Bowl to the Jets' roommates at the Meadowlands - the New York Giants.
"You have to earn it. That's something you kind of have to watch out for at the end of the season when you're playing Week 14, 15, 16 and 17," Scott said. "You've got to still make sure you're evaluating your own performance honestly and make sure you're still getting better."
SERIES HISTORY
The Titans own a 21-15-1 lead in the all-time regular season series with the Jets, including a 10-6 home victory when the teams met in Week 16 of last season. Prior to that win, Tennessee had lost all three head-to-head matchups with the Jets since relocating from Houston prior to the 1997 season, including a 23-16 home loss in the previous meeting, in Week 1 of the 2006 campaign.
The Jets lost their only all-time postseason matchup against the Titans/Oilers, losing 17-10 in a 1991 AFC First-Round Playoff from the Astrodome.
Titans head coach Jeff Fisher is 4-3 in his career against the Jets, with his 24-10 win in the final week of the 1994 season marking his first victory as an NFL head coach. The Jets' Eric Mangini is 1-1 against both Fisher and the Titans as a head coach.
WHEN THE JETS HAVE THE BALL
Evidence of his game-manageability, Favre has completed 40-of-52 passes for 425 yards, three touchdowns and a 119.5 passer rating in his past two starts, resulting in defeats of the Bills and Patriots. Including the postseason, his teams are 96-8 in games where he posts a rating of 100.0 or better. He is third in the conference with 18 touchdown passes and second with an overall passer rating of 93.0. On the ground, running back Thomas Jones leads the AFC with 854 rush yards and aims for a third consecutive 100-yard game. Jones has nine TDs in his past six games - 8 rushing, 1 receiving - and looks for a fifth straight game with at least one. His nine rush TDs overall are tied for third in the AFC and he's averaging 128.3 yards per game when carrying the ball at least 20 times in a game. Through the air, veteran Laveranues Coles caught eight balls for 153 yards in his lone career meeting against the Titans in 2006. Fellow wideout Jerricho Cotchery has faced Tennessee twice and has averaged 108.5 receiving yards per game. Meanwhile, rookie tight end Dustin Keller is emerging as Favre's crunch-time target. He's caught 14 passes for 194 yards and a TD in his last two games, including 12 passes for first-down yardage.
The Titans will present varied packages to Favre & Co., including man-to-man and zone defenses, along with mixtures of each. Tennessee's 15 interceptions on the season place it in a second-place tie in the league with Baltimore, one behind Green Bay at 16. Nose tackle Albert Haynesworth has a team-best seven sacks and will face a Jets offensive line that's allowed just four sacks in the last four games. End Dave Ball also seeks a fourth consecutive game with at least once sack. Overall, the Titans are 16-2 in games since 2006 where they record two or more interceptions, and are led by the trio of Cortland Finnegan, Michael Griffin and Chris Hope with a conference-best four INTs apiece. Cornerback Chris Carr recorded his first interception last week since October 2006.
WHEN THE TITANS HAVE THE BALL
Collins, a collegiate standout at Penn State who led Carolina to an NFC Championship Game and the Giants to a Super Bowl, has settled in nicely as the "you needn't win the game, but don't lose it" signal-caller and is 10-3 with Tennessee as a starter. He's completed 43-of-64 passes in his last two games, including five touchdowns, 519 yards and a 111.4 passer rating. Of course, he's leaned heavily on a rushing attack that's helped the team to a 17-3 mark since 2007 in games with 30 or more ground attempts. Rookie Chris Johnson is second in the AFC to New York's Jones with 787 rushing yards, while USC alum LenDale White has scored six times in his last five games. They'll both run behind center Kevin Mawae, who spent eight seasons with the Jets from 1998-2005. Through the air, Gage posted career highs in both yardage (147) and touchdowns (2) last week in Jacksonville, while tight end Bo Scaife needs three receptions to pass his 2007 career high of 46.
Long the Achilles heel of the team, the defense has more than held up its end in 2008, especially with the contributions of offseason newcomers Kris Jenkins and Calvin Pace. Jenkins, a nose tackle acquired in a trade with Carolina, has 2.5 sacks in his last two road games and has clogged up the middle while helping the team reach the league's top 10 in stopping the run. The Jets are third overall in the league with 34 sacks, led by a team-high seven from Shaun Ellis, though Collins has only been sacked five times this season. Second-year cornerback Darrelle Revis is tied for the AFC lead with four interceptions. Overall, the Jets are allowing 321 total yards per game and have a turnover margin of plus-1. However, they'll again be without leading 2007 tackler David Harris, who'll miss another week while recovering from recent surgery to mend an injured groin.
FANTASY FOCUS
For the Jets, Mssrs. Favre, Jones and Keller have elevated themselves to must- play roles, while Cotchery and Coles are possibilities and Leon Washington is a huge threat to either score prodigiously or be invisible. Defensively, Revis leads a sack-happy and ball-hawking bunch. For Tennessee, the runners have been solid if not individually prodigious, though having White down near the goal line often times results in short-yardage scores. Gage had a breakout week against the Jaguars and is the Titans' pass threat in a run-oriented offense. On the defense, Haynesworth is practical, if not fantasy gold, though a league-best turnover ratio (plus-10) provides plenty of reason to go with the Titans as a whole.
OVERALL ANALYSIS
If not for the presence of the Colts, Patriots, Steelers and Chargers and their long-time dominance of the AFC, this could legitimately be considered a Championship Sunday preview. In lieu of that, though, it's at least a statement game for a pair of teams wanting to be considered part of the upper class. The Jets were both magnificent and maddening in their downing of the Patriots last week, while the Titans - for at least the opening two quarters - gave plenty of fodder to those who still don't believe in spite of the 10-0 record. Each side presents matchup difficulties for the other, which could very well place the game in the hands of the veteran quarterbacks and on the toes of the serviceable kickers. In a repeat of last Thursday night, look for a late Favre drive and a clutch Jay Feely kick to be difference-makers.
Sportsbook Betting Lines Predicted Outcome: Jets 17, Titans 14
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In part two of MySportsbook.com’s draft preview, we’ll take a look at a division that was extremely disappointing last season: the NFC South. Many “experts” predicted the Panthers to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl, of course they could not even make the playoffs in an extremely weak NFC. The Saints definitely made up for the disappointing seasons of their NFC South brethren by exploding out of no where en route to the NFC Championship game. For the avid NFL gambler, it is imperative to pay attention to the NFL draft. Although free agency gets a ton of publicity, the successful franchises build their teams around the draft.
1. New Orleans Saints
Who would have thought this time last year that the Saints would be the favorites to win the NFC South for the 2007 campaign? New Orleans is loaded with firepower on the offensive side of the ball but with the exodus of Joe Horn they will most likely look to draft a WR on Day 1. Despite having the NFL’s 3rd ranked pass defense last season, the Saints will most likely upgrade their CB’s with one of their first two picks. Other possibilities for the Saints will be TE and DT. Because of where they will be selecting (27th), the Saints could go the “best available player” route which could net a LB.
Key additions: Eric Johnson TE, Troy Evans LB, David Patten WR
Key loses: Joe Horn WR,
Team needs: CB, WR, TE, LB, DT
Possible draftees: Aaron Ross CB Texas, Darrelle Revis CB Pitt, Ted Ginn Jr. WR OSU, Paul Posluszny LB PSU, Chris Houston CB Arkansas, Greg Olsen TE Miami
2. Carolina Panthers
Carolina was one of the biggest disappointments in the NFL last season. With the signing of David Carr, expect the very first quarterback controversy to come out of Carolina if Jake Delhomme doesn’t rebound quickly from an average 2007 season. With veteran safety Mike Minter getting up there in age, they will look to draft a safety on Day 1 but probably not in the first round. LB is another need with the loss of Chris Draft to go along with Dan Morgan’s concussion problems. If TE Greg Olsen is still on the board, he might be too good to pass up despite their needs on the defensive side of the ball.
Key additions: David Carr QB
Key loses: Chris Draft LB
Team needs: LB, TE, S, OT
Possible draftees: Greg Olsen TE Miami, Patrick Willis LB Ole Miss, Paul Posluszny LB PSU, Levi Brown OT PSU
3. Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons were another NFC South team to have a disappointing 2007 season. The Falcons have been plenty busy during the off season with plenty of players coming and going including a new head coach. The Falcons were able to improve their draft position with the trade of coveted backup QB Matt Schaub. High on the list of Day 1 needs will be a defensive end to replace Patrick Kerney and a hard hitting safety since Lawyer Milloy is nearing the end of his career. With an additional 2nd round pick, the Falcons could attempt to trade up to acquire local product WR Calvin Johnson.
Key additions: Joey Harrington QB, Toniu Fonoti OG, Joe Horn WR
Key loses: Justin Griffen RB, Patrick Kerney DE, Matt Lehr OG, Ashley Lelie WR, Matt Schaub QB
Team needs: DE, S, OT, WR, DT
Possible draftees: LaRon Landry S LSU, Amobi Okoye DT Louisville, Levi Brown OT PSU, Jamaal Anderson DE Arkansas, Alan Branch DT Michigan
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Age really caught up to the Bucs last season. The Bucs still have plenty of household names on defense in Ronde Barber, Simeon Rice and Derrick Brooks but the one thing those three have in common is unfortunately age. It is imperative for the Bucs to get much younger, especially on the defensive side of the ball. Despite having bigger needs on the defensive side of the ball, WR Calvin Johnson is the most likely pick if he is still available when the Bucs pick at the four spot. This would suit Bucs’ faithful just fine as Johnson is widely considered the top talent in the draft and it is a position of need for the Bucs.
Key additions: Jeff Garcia QB, Kevin Carter DE, Torrie Cox CB, Cato June LB
Key loses: Dewayne White DE, Sean Mahan OG
Team needs: WR, LB, DE, CB (Youth on defense!)
Possible draftees: Calvin Johnson WR Georgia Tech, Gains Adams DE Clemson, Jamaal Anderson DE Arkansas
It is never too early to start betting on the NFL. Log on to MySportsbook.com to checkout all of the NFL futures for the upcoming season. On the clock: the NFC North
Odds to win the NFC South:
New Orleans Saints 8-5
Carolina Panthers 2-1
Atlanta Falcons 12-5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9-2
Odds to win the NFC:
New Orleans Saints 13-2
Carolina Panthers 7-1
Atlanta Falcons 20-1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25-1
Odds to win the Super Bowl:
New Orleans Saints 18-1
Carolina Panthers 20-1
Atlanta Falcons 50-1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 75-1
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